CMPSCI691 Homework 6 solution

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* Overview

This homework is about working with a mixture of
Dirichlet–multinomial unigram language models in order to infer
document groups. The purpose of this homework is twofold:

* To appreciate the effects and implications of “label switching”.

* To understand and implement an approximate method for computing the
log predictive probability of new data.

To complete this homework, you will need to use Python 2.7 [1], NumPy
[2], and SciPy [3]. Although all three are installed on EdLab, I
recommend you install them on your own computer. I also recommend you
install and use IPython [4] instead of the default Python shell.

Before answering the questions below, you should familiarize yourself
with the code in hw6.py. In particular, you should try running
sample(). For example, running ‘sample(array([5, 2, 3]), 10)’
generates 10 samples from the specified distribution as follows:

>>> sample(array([5, 2, 3]), 10)
array([0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1])

* Questions

** Question 1

According to a mixture of Dirichlet–multinomial unigram language
models, the predictive probability of a single new token w_{N + 1} of
type v belonging to a new document (given observed tokens w_1 through
w_N and assumptions H) may be approximated by:

P(w_{N + 1} = v | w_1, …, w_N) = (1 / S) * sum_{s=1}^S sum_{t=1}^T
(N_{v|t}^{(s)} + beta * n_v) / (N_t^{(s)} + beta) * (D_t^{(s)} + alpha
* m_t) / (D + alpha),

where alpha, m, beta, and n are hyperparameters, and superscript
“{(s)}” indicates that the superscripted quantity is that obtained
using a single set of document–component assignments z_1^{(s)}
through z_D^{(s)} drawn from P(z_1, …, z_D | w_1, …, w_N, H).

a) Explain why it’s possible to compute this approximate predictive
probability as stated above, i.e., by averaging over multiple
samples from P(z_1, …, z_D | w_1, …, w_N, H), without
encountering the label switching problem.

b) What is the corresponding approximate predictive probability of a
single new token w_{N + 1} of type v in an EXISTING document?

c) Is it possible to compute this approximate predictive probability
without encountering the label switching problem? Why?

** Question 2

Class Corpus (in corpus.py) implements a corpus of (ungrouped)
documents. This class supports slicing as follows:

>>> corpus = Corpus()
>>> corpus.add(‘doc 1’, [‘foo’, ‘bar’])
>>> corpus.add(‘doc 2’, [‘bar’, ‘foo’])
>>> corpus.add(‘doc 3’, [‘bar’, ‘baz’, ‘baz’])
>>> print len(corpus)
3
>>> print len(corpus.vocab)
3
>>> print len(corpus[:2])
2
>>> print len(corpus[:2].vocab)
3
>>> for doc in corpus[:2]:
… print doc.w

[0, 1]
[1, 0]
>>> print corpus[2].w
[1, 2, 2]

CSV file questions.csv contains 5,264 questions about science from the
Madsci Network question-and-answer website [5]. Each question is
represented by a unique ID, and the text of the question itself.

Function preprocess() (in preprocess.py) takes a CSV file, an optional
stopword file, and an optional list of extra stopwords as input and
returns a corpus (i.e., an instance of the Corpus class, as described
above), with any stopwords removed. You can run this code as follows:

>>> corpus = preprocess(‘questions.csv’, ‘stopwordlist.txt’, [‘answer’, ‘dont’, ‘find’, ‘im’, ‘information’, ‘ive’, ‘message’, ‘question’, ‘read’, ‘science’, ‘wondering’])
>>> print ‘V = %s’ % len(corpus.vocab)
V = 21919

The resultant corpus may be split into a corpus of “training”
documents and a corpus of “testing” documents as follows:

>>> train_corpus = corpus[:-100]
>>> print len(train_corpus)
5164
>>> test_corpus = corpus[-100:]
>>> print len(test_corpus)
100

These corpora have the same vocabulary:

>>> train_corpus.vocab == test_corpus.vocab
True

a) When using a (mixture of) Dirichlet–multinomial unigram language
model(s) to compute the predictive probability of new data D’
given observed data D and assumptions H, the model must be defined
over the union of the individual vocabularies of D and D’. Why?

For many real-world tasks, it’s not possible to define a model over
the union of the individual vocabularies of D and D’ because the
identity of D’ is not known prior to forming the posterior
distribution. In this scenario, it’s common to define a model over the
vocabulary of D plus one additional “unseen” word type. All word types
that occur in D’ but not D are replaced with this “unseen” word type.

b) The least common of the word types that occur in D only are also
replaced with the “unseen” word type. If this step is omitted,
what role do the type–topic counts, i.e., N_{v|t} and N_t, play
in the predictive probability of a single new token w_{N + 1} of
the “unseen” word type in either a new or an existing document?

If the U least common word types in D are replaced with the “unseen”
word type, the predictive probability of a single new token w_{N + 1}
in a new document assigned to component t (given observed tokens w_1
through w_N and assumptions H) is given by

P(w_{N + 1} = “unseen” | z_{D + 1} = t, w_1, …, w_N, H) = (1 / U)
sum_{z_1, …, z_D} (N_{“unseen”|t} + beta * n_{“unseen”}) / (N_t +
beta) * P(z_1, …, z_D | w_1, …, w_N, H),

where beta and n are hyperparameters and N_t is the number of tokens
in documents assigned to group t by z_1 through z_D, of which
N_{“unseen”|t} are of the “unseen” word type.

c) Explain the presence of the factor (1 / U).

** Question 3

According to a mixture of Dirichlet–multinomial unigram language
models, the predictive probability of new tokens w_{N + 1} through
w_{N + N’} belonging to D’ new documents given observed tokens w_1
through w_N and assumptions H can be approximated as follows:

P(w_{N + 1}, …, w_{N + N’} | w_1, …, w_N, H) ~= (1 / S) *
sum_{s=1}^S P(w_{N + 1}, …, w_{N + N’} | w_1, …, w_N, z_1^{(s)},
…, z_D^{(s)}, H)

where z_1^{(s)} through z_D^{(s)} comprise a single set of
document–component assignments drawn from P(z_1, …, z_D | w_1, …,
w_N, H). This approximation involves an intractable sum over
document–component assignments z’_1 through z’_{D’}, thereby
necessitating the following approximation:

P(w_{N + 1}, …, w_{N + N’} | w_1, …, w_N, z_1^{(s)}, …,
z_D^{(s)}, H) ~= prod_{d=1}^{D’} (1 / R) sum_{r=1}^R sum_{t=1}^T
P(D’_d, z’_d = t | D’_{>> extra_stopwords = [‘answer’, ‘dont’, ‘find’, ‘im’, ‘information’, ‘ive’, ‘message’,’question’, ‘read’, ‘science’, ‘wondering’]
>>> corpus = preprocess(‘questions.csv’, ‘stopwordlist.txt’, extra_stopwords)
>>> train_corpus = corpus[:-100]
>>> assert train_corpus.vocab == corpus.vocab
>>> test_corpus = corpus[-100:]
>>> assert test_corpus.vocab == corpus.vocab
>>> V = len(corpus.vocab)
>>> T = 10
>>> alpha = 0.1 * T
>>> m = ones(T) / T
>>> beta = 0.01 * V
>>> n = ones(V) / V
>>> mm = MixtureModel(train_corpus, alpha, m, beta, n)
>>> mm.gibbs(num_itns=25, random_seed=1000)
>>> mm.log_predictive_prob(test_corpus, num_samples=5)

When testing your code, may find it useful to save your model as
follows after performing Gibbs sampling:

>>> mm.gibbs(num_itns=25, random_seed=1000)
>>> mm.save(‘model.dat’)

You can then use your saved model as follows:

>>> mm = MixtureModel.load(‘model.dat’)
>>> mm.log_predictive_prob(test_corpus, num_samples=5)

b) What is the approximate log predictive probability, computed as
described above, i.e., using R = 5 random samples after
initializing the random number generator with a value of 1000 and
performing 25 Gibbs sampling iterations?

c) What is the time complexity of log_predictive_prob()?

d) It’s possible to improve the time complexity (at the expense of
accuracy) by replacing the loop over all previous documents with a
loop over a fixed number (e.g., 25) of the most recent
documents. What is the time complexity of this variant?

* References

[1] http://www.python.org/

[2] http://numpy.scipy.org/

[3] http://www.scipy.org/

[4] http://ipython.org/

[5] http://research.madsci.org/dataset/